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2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: STATE BY STATE PREVIEW- PART 1

Make no mistake, Ohio is going to be a tough slog for Joe Biden. Despite some favorable polls coming out in favor of Biden, it is likely that Donald Trump takes Ohio. Of the rust belt states, Ohio is likely to be Trump’s best performing state. Although Democrat Senator Sherrod Brown won reelection in 2018, the Democrats also lost the Governor’s race and several winnable Congressional races. In 2016, Donald Trump won Ohio by a 51.69% to 43.56% margin and there has been little indication that the Democrats have made enough inroads since 2016 to retake the state.

Battle In Big Sky Country: Steve Daines vs. Steve Bullock

Few states exhibit an independent streak quite like Montana. In an age of straight ticket voting and increased polarization, Montana is an anomaly that deserves more attention…

May Polling Update: Fact Or Fiction?

It is almost a foregone conclusion that Donald Trump will lose the popular vote in the 2020 election. Trump is likely to lose the popular vote by an even greater margin than the 2.1% that he lost by in 2016. Large blue states such as California, Illinois, and New York, have swung further away from Republicans and will produce large voter deficits for Trump….

Illinois Congressional District 6 Preview: A Critical Test Of Democratic Strength In The Suburbs

In the 2018 Midterm election, Illinois’ 6th Congressional District was one of the most closely watched races in the entire country. The District was only about 2% more Republican than the country, as a whole, and Hillary Clinton won the District on the Presidential level in 2016. Situated in a “C” shape around Chicago’s western suburbs the 6th District was thought to be a bellwether for suburban district across the country and it did not disappoint by almost perfectly mirroring the national vote…

IOWA CANDIDATE PROFILE: JOE BIDEN

Iowa will not be kind to Joe Biden… On the surface the Democrat candidate seemingly best suited for success in Clinton County and thus the State of Iowa is Joe Biden. Biden has made a career for himself as a blue collar politician and a man of the people. His pro-union message would surely be thought to resonate with voters here. There’s one problem with this thinking though. Joe Biden is no longer a populist.

Josh ShancerJanuary 16, 2020joe biden, iowa caucus, news, candidate profile, biden, iowa, obama, barack obama, donald trump Comment

THE IOWA QUESTION

2016 was an unmitigated disaster for Democrats in Iowa. Donald Trump trounced Hillary Clinton by 9.5% as many farmers and blue-collar workers turned on the Democrats. Nowhere was this shellacking more emblematic than in Clinton County. Barack Obama had carried Clinton County with vote totals of 60.6% and 60.8% in 2012 and 2008 respectively. Donald Trump, however, carried Clinton County 48.9% to 43.8% over Hillary Clinton in 2016. Once reliable Democrat voters had suddenly fled the party seemingly overnight. It is these very same voters that Democrats must win back in order to flip the State of Iowa blue in 2020…

TOP TEN WORST POLITICAL CAMPAIGNS OF THE 2010's

Christine O’Donnell- There was nothing that could have prepared Delaware voters for the disaster that was Christine O’Donnell in 2010. O’Donnell’s comments on witch craft, masturbation, and the separation of church and state not only torpedoed her campaign, but also made her a national laughingstock…

A Look At Party Switching and Why Jeff Van Drew Will Not Win Re-election As A Republican

On December 14, 2019, it was reported that New Jersey Congressman Jeff Van Drew, a Democrat, would switch parties and become a Republican… Party switching while in office is extremely rare as only eight member of the House and 4 members of the Senate have switched during the last 20 years.

WHY KAMALA HARRIS FAILED

On December 3, 2019, Kamala Harris, once a front-runner for the 2020 Democrat nomination, dropped out of the race for president. This development was not entirely unexpected and I myself, prior to the Fifth Democrat Debate, predicted that Harris would drop out before the Iowa Caucus. Still, this was a staggering fall for a woman who just a few months prior was rising in the polls.

Josh ShancerDecember 5, 2019kamala harris, kamala, 2020, news, joe biden, tulsi gabbard, elizabeth warren, pete buttigieg, donald trump, democrat primaryComment

BATTLE ON THE BAYOU: LOUISIANA GOVERNOR’S RACE

Jon Bel Edwards, like Mississippi’s Jim Hood, is not your typical Democrat. Edwards is pro-life, and supports gun rights, but has also championed liberal initiatives including Medicaid expansion and voting rights. The Louisiana Democrat is always quick to tout his bipartisan bona fides and has often decried the polarization of politics.

KENTUCKY GOVERNOR RECAP: HOW ANDY BESHEAR UPSET MATT BEVIN AND WHY TRUMP IS IN TROUBLE FOR 2020

The political party that has won Kentucky’s governorship has gone on to see their party win the following year’s presidential election in every election cycle since 2003. If this cycle continues into 2020 then Donald Trump will find himself out of a job come next November.

Josh ShancerNovember 8, 2019kentucky, governor, matt, matt bevin, andy beshear, 2020, election, donald trump, trump, rural, suburban, kentucky governorComment

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