With Joe Biden announcing that he would choose a woman as his running mate, there are five women who stand out as his likeliest choices….
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With Elizabeth Warren lagging badly in the early primary states, it appeared that Sanders had also overcome the biggest challenge to being “The Candidate” for the more liberal wing of the Democratic Party. It was time for Sanders to hit the accelerator and begin pushing his lagging rivals out of the race entirely. Instead of ramping up, Sanders made the mistake of taking his foot off the gas and wasted what could have been a pivotal moment for his campaign.
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Individual previews and predictions for all fourteen Super Tuesday states.
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South Carolina will provide the first true test of Joe Biden’s support among black voters. For the entire 2020 campaign we have heard endlessly about Biden’s strength among black voters. So far, however, Biden has been unable to utilize his support among black voters. Iowa and New Hampshire contained a miniscule number of black voters, while in Nevada, Latinos are the dominant minority group. Now, in the fourth contest of the Democratic Primary, we will finally be able to gauge where black voters stand in the 2020 Primary.
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Although he slightly under-performed in Iowa and New Hampshire relative to his polling numbers, Bernie Sanders is in a solid position to win Nevada and take advantage of the state’s diversity. Recent polling has indicated that Sanders has made significant inroads, in particular, with the Latino population. A Data for Progress poll showed Sanders garnering an impressive 66 percent of the Latino vote. If Sanders does indeed receive this amount of support from Nevada’s robust Latino community, then he will be very difficult to beat.
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Despite the large field, New Hampshire appears destined to be a contest between Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders. The top two vote-getters in the Iowa Caucus have also led by a wide margin in recent polling in New Hampshire. Sanders in particular, due to being from neighboring Vermont, has long made winning New Hampshire a priority of his…
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Iowa has highlighted how patently unfair and damaging the current system is for the Democrats… The solution to this damaging system and lack of uniformity is to split the United States into a Regional System. This Regional System would contain five voting regions with ten states each. For five weeks, beginning on the first Tuesday of February, one region and only one region would hold all of their primaries on the same date.
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No Democrat has had a better last three months than Bernie Sanders. After Sanders’ heart attack in early October, 2019, it appeared that his entire campaign might be in jeopardy. Elizabeth Warren was surging in the polls and threatened to take over the mantle as the liberal standard-bearer of the Democratic Party. As evidenced in the polls, at the time, it seemed as if the magic that had carried Sanders in 2016 was beginning to wane. Just three months later, however, Bernie Sanders have firmly established his place as the front runner in the Iowa Caucus.
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Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar are inextricably linked in most facets. Their base of voters may differ slightly with Klobuchar voters being more likely to have graduated college, but their appeal and folksy natures are quite similar. The two candidates have overlapping qualities that draw in voters not just for their personalities, but also for their perceived even-keel approach to politics…
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In October, 2019, Elizabeth Warren was the front runner in the Iowa Caucus. Warren had come off a highly successful summer where she had offered a litany of specific policy positions that were well-received by Democrats and even some Republican voters…. Despite some issues, Warren still remains a force to be reckoned with in Iowa and should be discounted at your own peril…
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2016 was an unmitigated disaster for Democrats in Iowa. Donald Trump trounced Hillary Clinton by 9.5% as many farmers and blue-collar workers turned on the Democrats. Nowhere was this shellacking more emblematic than in Clinton County. Barack Obama had carried Clinton County with vote totals of 60.6% and 60.8% in 2012 and 2008 respectively. Donald Trump, however, carried Clinton County 48.9% to 43.8% over Hillary Clinton in 2016. Once reliable Democrat voters had suddenly fled the party seemingly overnight. It is these very same voters that Democrats must win back in order to flip the State of Iowa blue in 2020…
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Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are on a collision course. The pair share similar progressive ideologies and have been an uncompromising force during the 2020 campaign. A plurality of Warren’s supporters would pick Sanders as their second choice if Warren were to drop out. This is mirrored by Sanders’ supporters who would choose Warren as their second choice. Despite their overlapping voting bases, Warren and Sanders have rarely gone after each other and have often tag teamed against their more moderate rivals.
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On December 3, 2019, Kamala Harris, once a front-runner for the 2020 Democrat nomination, dropped out of the race for president. This development was not entirely unexpected and I myself, prior to the Fifth Democrat Debate, predicted that Harris would drop out before the Iowa Caucus. Still, this was a staggering fall for a woman who just a few months prior was rising in the polls.
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Pete Buttigieg has broken out in the polls in recent weeks. This has been especially pronounced in early primary and caucus states such as New Hampshire and Iowa. Buttigieg’s relentless advertising and voter outreach has been paying dividends for his campaign as recent polls show him ahead in both Iowa and New Hampshire.
With the bump in the polls, expect several candidates, especially Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Amy Klobuchar to go after Buttigieg.
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